Predicting the weather
I can use a simple model to predict the weather.
Predicting the weather
I can use a simple model to predict the weather.
These resources will be removed by end of Summer Term 2025.
Lesson details
Key learning points
- A probability model can be used to predict the weather
- Some models are better than others at predicting the weather
- An incorrect prediction does not necessarily mean the model is so wrong it should be changed
Keywords
Forecast - A forecast is a prediction of a future event occurring (based on data).
Extrapolation - Extrapolation is the process of estimating unknown values that are outside the range of existing data.
Common misconception
If the weather report has the rain icon, it means it will rain.
The rain symbol is to denote what type of rain it is likely to be should it rain. The percentage chance of rain then informs us about how likely it is to rain.
To help you plan your year 9 maths lesson on: Predicting the weather, download all teaching resources for free and adapt to suit your pupils' needs...
To help you plan your year 9 maths lesson on: Predicting the weather, download all teaching resources for free and adapt to suit your pupils' needs.
The starter quiz will activate and check your pupils' prior knowledge, with versions available both with and without answers in PDF format.
We use learning cycles to break down learning into key concepts or ideas linked to the learning outcome. Each learning cycle features explanations with checks for understanding and practice tasks with feedback. All of this is found in our slide decks, ready for you to download and edit. The practice tasks are also available as printable worksheets and some lessons have additional materials with extra material you might need for teaching the lesson.
The assessment exit quiz will test your pupils' understanding of the key learning points.
Our video is a tool for planning, showing how other teachers might teach the lesson, offering helpful tips, modelled explanations and inspiration for your own delivery in the classroom. Plus, you can set it as homework or revision for pupils and keep their learning on track by sharing an online pupil version of this lesson.
Explore more key stage 3 maths lessons from the Maths and the environment unit, dive into the full secondary maths curriculum, or learn more about lesson planning.
Equipment
Licence
Starter quiz
6 Questions
Exit quiz
6 Questions


